Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Mar 12, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
4 - 3
NEC

de Leeuw (2'), Strand Larsen (22'), Postema (80', 90+1')
Strand Larsen (17'), El Hankouri (60'), Duarte (75'), Irandust (87')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Akman (13'), Schone (29'), Mattsson (32')
Meijer (27')
Elkarouani (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

Last Six:

Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Cambuur
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36
11	Groningen	33	-13	36
12	Cambuur	33	-18	36

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38

Both teams are closely matched in the league table, and we expect a tight affair in this one with neither team giving too much away. We are also backing a share of the spoils with the sides settling for a point apiece come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	NEC
56.44%	23.94%	19.61%

Both teams to score 48.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98%

52.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25%

73.75%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73%

18.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68%

49.32%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.06%

40.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.49%

77.5%

Score Analysis

Groningen 56.43%

NEC 19.61%

Draw 23.94%

Groningen	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 12.71% 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.43%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.61%