KNVB Beker | Final

Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
1 - 1
PSV

Branthwaite (42' og.)
Sanchez (30'), Alvarez (37'), Bergwijn (45'), Rensch (60'), Wijndal (95')

FT
(aet)

Hazard (67')
Teze (45'), de Jong (43'), Ramalho (79'), Simons (90+2'), El Ghazi (92'), van Aanholt (120+1')

PSV win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

PSV Eindoven beat Ajax on penalties following a 1-1 draw to win the KNVB Beker for the 11th time in their history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%).

Result
Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
44.94% ( 0.03)	22.23% ( 0)	32.83% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 67.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.94% (

-0.03)

33.06% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.21% (

-0.03)

54.8% (

0.03)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.6% (

-0)

15.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.79% (

-0)

44.21% (

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.03)

20.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

-0.05)

53.25% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ajax 44.94%

PSV Eindhoven 32.83%

Draw 22.23%

Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.15% Total : 44.94%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.23%	1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.88% Total : 32.83%