Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
We said: Willem II 1-3 FC Twente
Willem II were a tad lucky to have escaped a cup exit on Wednesday, but there will be a smaller margin for error in this weekend's matchup against a Twente side brimming with confidence.
We are backing the visitors to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.9% . A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%) . The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (6.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result Willem II Draw FC Twente 24.94% ( -0.23) 22.15% ( -0) 52.9% ( 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.25)
61.82% ( -0.21) 38.18% ( 0.21)
39.54% ( -0.23) 60.45% ( 0.23)
71.72% ( -0.29) 28.27% ( 0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.01% ( -0.37) 63.99% ( 0.37)
85.45% 14.55% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.4% ( -0) 42.59%
Willem II 24.94%
FC Twente 52.9%
Draw 22.15%
Willem II Draw FC Twente 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 24.94% 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.15% 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.9%
How you voted: Willem II vs FC Twente
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