Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.