Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 31.23% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester City |
31.23% ( 0.84) | 22.58% ( 0.19) | 46.19% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 65% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.49% ( -0.48) | 35.51% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.44% ( -0.54) | 57.56% ( 0.54) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.28% ( 0.25) | 22.72% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.61% ( 0.37) | 56.39% ( -0.37) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.11% ( -0.55) | 15.89% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.89% ( -1.03) | 45.11% ( 1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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