Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.