Man City2 - 1Man Utd
The Match
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Preview
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Sunday, May 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League
We said: Manchester City 2-1 Manchester United
Whether we see an end-to-end classic or a more closely-fought contest remains to be seen, but Guardiola and Ten Hag should have few problems motivating their players for arguably the biggest Manchester derby in history. One of these teams is guaranteed to lift a second trophy of the season, but we believe that the superiority that Man City possess in all departments, particularly in attack with the presence of Haaland, will come to the fore, with sky blue ribbons to be attached to this year's FA Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Manchester United |
49.48% ( 0.58) | 23.13% ( -0.4) | 27.38% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.21% ( 1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
