

Man City1 - 0Chelsea



The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
70.91% (![]() | 16.71% (![]() | 12.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.46% (![]() | 33.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.66% (![]() | 55.34% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.61% (![]() | 8.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.83% (![]() | 29.17% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.09% (![]() | 38.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.36% (![]() | 75.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
2-0 @ 10.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.91% | 1-1 @ 7.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.71% | 1-2 @ 3.6% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.37% |
How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea





