Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.