Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
45.98% ( -0.15) | 24.08% ( 0.02) | 29.94% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% ( -0.01) | 43.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.23% ( -0.01) | 65.77% ( 0.01) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( -0.07) | 19.04% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.38% ( -0.11) | 50.62% ( 0.11) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 0.09) | 27.4% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( 0.11) | 62.87% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Fulham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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