Premier League | Gameweek 29
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal4 - 1Leeds
The Match
Match Report
Gabriel Jesus nets a brace as Arsenal go eight points clear at the top of the Premier League table with a 4-1 win over Leeds United.
Team News
Bukayo Saka is named on the bench for Arsenal's Premier League clash with Leeds United, but Thomas Partey is passed fit to start.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Leeds United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-4 Leeds
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Leeds United |
| 75.77% | 14.49% | 9.74% |
| Both teams to score 55.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
