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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Leeds logo

Wolves
2 - 4
Leeds

Castro (65'), Cunha (73')
Dawson (37'), Semedo (53'), Gomes (87')
Castro (84'), Nunes (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (6'), Ayling (49'), Kristensen (62'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Ayling (24'), McKennie (45+3'), Firpo (45+2'), Roca (75'), Meslier (90+12')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move into 14th position in the Premier League table with a 4-2 victory at Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.113 -0.11)49.29% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (-0.101 -0.1)71.34% (0.107 0.11)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)58.01% (0.052 0.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)28.12% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.117 -0.12)63.79% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.96%
    Leeds United 33.34%
    Draw 25.7%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
71.2%
Draw
18.0%
Leeds United
10.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Traore (85')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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