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EFL Cup
Wolves logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Leeds logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Leeds

Traore (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Leeds United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Leeds United (Wolves to win on penalties)

 Leeds are certainly leaving Wolves behind at the bottom of the Premier League table, but rotation on both ends could open this tie up for an exciting, end-to-end affair, especially with the hosts now improving on the attacking front. We would not be surprised to see this encounter end all square at Molineux, and with the vociferous home support behind them, Wolves can edge the penalty kicks to advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.83% (0.052 0.05) 24.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 34.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 57.62% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (0.23699999999999 0.24)45.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (0.227 0.23)68% (-0.221 -0.22)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.13 0.13)22.31% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (0.193 0.19)55.78% (-0.187 -0.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (0.117 0.12)25.84% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (0.157 0.16)60.8% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.83%
    Leeds United 34.24%
    Draw 24.93%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.24%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
51.0%
Leeds United
49.0%
51
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
Oct 19, 2020 8pm
Leeds
0-1
Wolves

Ayling (15'), Phillips (61')
Jimenez (70')
Moutinho (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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