EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Molineux Stadium

Wolves
1 - 0
Leeds

Traore (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Leeds United (Wolves to win on penalties)

Leeds are certainly leaving Wolves behind at the bottom of the Premier League table, but rotation on both ends could open this tie up for an exciting, end-to-end affair, especially with the hosts now improving on the attacking front. We would not be surprised to see this encounter end all square at Molineux, and with the vociferous home support behind them, Wolves can edge the penalty kicks to advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Leeds United
40.83% ( 0.05)	24.93% ( -0.05)	34.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.62% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32% (

0.24)

45.68% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32% (

0.23)

68% (

-0.22)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

0.13)

22.31% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22% (

0.19)

55.78% (

-0.19)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

0.12)

25.84% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

0.16)

60.8% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.83%

Leeds United 34.24%

Draw 24.93%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.83%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.24%