MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 19:34:56| >> :600:253516:253516:
Wolves logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Leeds logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Leeds

Traore (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Leeds United (Wolves to win on penalties)

Leeds are certainly leaving Wolves behind at the bottom of the Premier League table, but rotation on both ends could open this tie up for an exciting, end-to-end affair, especially with the hosts now improving on the attacking front. We would not be surprised to see this encounter end all square at Molineux, and with the vociferous home support behind them, Wolves can edge the penalty kicks to advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.83% (0.052 0.05) 24.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 34.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 57.62% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (0.23699999999999 0.24)45.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (0.227 0.23)68% (-0.221 -0.22)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.13 0.13)22.31% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (0.193 0.19)55.78% (-0.187 -0.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (0.117 0.12)25.84% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (0.157 0.16)60.8% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.83%
    Leeds United 34.24%
    Draw 24.93%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.24%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
51.0%
Leeds United
49.0%
51
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
Oct 19, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!