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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
Leeds logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Leeds

Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')
Soumare (52'), Tielemans (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Koch (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-2 Leeds United

Every game is turning into a must-win for Rodgers and his Leicester side, while Leeds will also be desperate to taste victory having not done so since August. Leicester have not drawn any of their last 10 Premier League home games against Leeds, but we feel that this run could come to an end on Thursday, with both sides playing out an entertaining contest at the King Power. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
56.57% (0.924 0.92) 23.04% (-0.388 -0.39) 20.39% (-0.536 -0.54)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.958 0.96)47.38% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.884 0.88)69.6% (-0.88 -0.88)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.672 0.67)16.54% (-0.669 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (1.193 1.19)46.3% (-1.19 -1.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.23% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 56.56%
    Leeds United 20.39%
    Draw 23.03%
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.063 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 56.56%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Leicester vs Leeds

Leicester City
52.2%
Draw
22.8%
Leeds United
25.1%
347
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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