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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park
Leeds logo

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Leeds

Edouard (24'), Eze (76')
Doucoure (14'), Guehi (38'), Olise (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Struijk (10')
Struijk (50'), Kristensen (79'), Koch (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds United

With the pressure increasing on both managers when it comes to getting points on the board, they can ill-afford another setback here. With that in mind, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely result, one which will keep their tallies ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
45.97% (-0.879 -0.88) 25.34% (0.119 0.12) 28.69% (0.764 0.76)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)49.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)71.62% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.407 -0.41)21.58% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.631 -0.63)54.67% (0.636 0.64)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.54900000000001 0.55)31.44% (-0.545 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.628 0.63)67.82% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 45.96%
    Leeds United 28.69%
    Draw 25.33%
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.69%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Leeds

Crystal Palace
62.6%
Draw
19.2%
Leeds United
18.1%
265
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2022 11.05am
Apr 25, 2022 8pm
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Leeds
1-0
Crystal Palace
Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
4-1
Leeds
Dann (12'), Eze (22'), Costa (42' og.), Ayew (70')
Bamford (27')
Cooper (49'), Klich (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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