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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 1-1 Aston Villa

Both sides head into this fixture full of confidence after their respective performances last time out. However, we feel that these are two evenly-matched sides, and a low-scoring draw in a competitive fixture feels like the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
32.52% (-0.404 -0.4) 26.68% (0.124 0.12) 40.8% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.587 -0.59)53.54% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.498 -0.5)75.05% (0.495 0.5)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.563 -0.56)30.76% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.669 -0.67)67.02% (0.667 0.67)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.122 -0.12)25.82% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.166 -0.17)60.78% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 32.52%
    Aston Villa 40.8%
    Draw 26.67%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.8%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
Draw
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
52.4%
Draw
29.5%
Aston Villa
18.1%
288
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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