Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Everton
Even at this early stage of the season, the pressure is on both teams to kick-start their respective campaigns, as well as the two managers to gain an edge over the other. However, we can see a tense clash playing out at Villa Park, one which may end in a low-scoring share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.68% . A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 23.63% .
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.92%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result Aston Villa Draw Everton 50.68% ( 0.22) 25.7% ( -0.15) 23.63% ( -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.39% ( 0.36)
45.46% ( 0.51) 54.54% ( -0.51)
24.11% ( 0.42) 75.89% ( -0.42)
78.44% ( 0.31) 21.56% ( -0.31)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.37% ( 0.47) 54.63% ( -0.47)
61.68% ( 0.22) 38.32% ( -0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.93% ( 0.21) 75.07% ( -0.21)
Aston Villa 50.67%
Everton 23.63%
Draw 25.69%
Aston Villa Draw Everton 1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.67% 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.69% 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.63%
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton
317
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-19 10:41:13
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