Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace
Scoring and conceding away from home has been the theme for Crystal Palace over the past few months, and a similar pattern should be followed here, with Newcastle still vulnerable at the back at times.
Both teams will be fired up to put their midweek disappointments behind them, but the bouncing St James' Park atmosphere, potential returns of Guimaraes and Saint-Maximin and Isak's explosive start will all work in Newcastle's favour as Howe's side seek to grind out a narrow victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.59% . A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.97%) . The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood .
Result Newcastle United Draw Crystal Palace 48.59% ( 1.87) 25.65% ( -0.63) 25.76% ( -1.24)
Both teams to score 50.58% ( 0.86)
47.31% ( 1.61) 52.69% ( -1.61)
25.67% ( 1.36) 74.33% ( -1.36)
78.3% ( 1.52) 21.7% ( -1.52)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.15% ( 2.27) 54.85% ( -2.27)
64.6% ( -0.16) 35.4% ( 0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.84% ( -0.16) 72.16% ( 0.17)
Newcastle United 48.58%
Crystal Palace 25.76%
Draw 25.64%
Newcastle United Draw Crystal Palace 1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.58% 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.64% 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.76%
How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
Draw
Crystal Palace
190
rhs 2.0
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