Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.