Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Newcastle

Watkins (13'), Traore (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Schar (26'), Carroll (54'), Lascelles (57')

DeAndre Yedlin's Newcastle United future 'in doubt'

The American was absent from the squad at Villa Park.

Jan 24, 14:13

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on January 23, 2021

Steve Bruce "convinced" Newcastle will turn their fortunes around

The Magpies have scored only once in eight games and fans protested at St James' Park on Saturday night.

Jan 23, 23:44

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
52.98%	23.27%	23.76%

Both teams to score 56.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52%

44.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15%

66.86%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23%

16.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29%

46.71%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35%

32.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.8%

69.2%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 52.98%

Newcastle United 23.76%

Draw 23.26%

Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.98%	1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.47% Total : 23.76%