Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Jan 3, 2021 at 2.15pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 2
Leicester

Carroll (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maddison (55'), Tielemans (72')
Tielemans (60'), Justin (81')

Brendan Rodgers refuses to alter Leicester City ambitions

The Foxes climbed into third place with their victory at St James' Park.

Jan 3, 18:31

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
16.08%	21.54%	62.37%

Both teams to score 48.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36%

47.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16%

69.84%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.42%

42.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.06%

78.93%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.3%

14.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.12%

42.88%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 16.08%

Leicester City 62.36%

Draw 21.54%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 5.34% 2-1 @ 4.37% 2-0 @ 2.28% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.65% Total : 16.08%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.54%	0-1 @ 12% 0-2 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-4 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-5 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.4% Total : 62.36%