Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle1 - 2Leeds
Reaction
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The Match
Match Report
The Magpies have gone 11 games in all competitions without a win.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 17.58% | 21.45% | 60.98% |
| Both teams to score 52.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% | 44.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% | 67.03% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% | 38.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.32% | 75.68% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% | 14.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.15% | 41.85% |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 17.58%
Leeds United 60.97%
Draw 21.44%
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 5.2% 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.58% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.77% Total : 60.97% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Leeds
Newcastle United
19.3%Draw
28.1%Leeds United
52.6%342
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2016 1.15pm
Sep 25, 2013 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2004 3pm
