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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace

After their FA Cup disappointment, Palace will be especially eager to end what has been an encouraging season on a high. However, Newcastle are a different beast at St James' Park, and we are expecting the Magpies to outlast the Eagles with victory by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
41.94%27.51%30.55%
Both teams to score 48.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69%57.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22%70.78%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.93%
    Crystal Palace 30.55%
    Draw 27.51%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
Draw
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
67.3%
Draw
16.4%
Crystal Palace
16.4%
226
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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