We said: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle United
This will be a real test of Newcastle's recent improvement, and it would not be a surprise to see the Magpies claim a positive result on Sunday afternoon. Chelsea's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the superior quality in the home side's team will allow them to claim a huge three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.