Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Mar 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 0
Newcastle

Havertz (89')
Havertz (39'), Ziyech (58'), Kovacic (87'), Rudiger (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Murphy (50'), Guimaraes (80'), Gayle (90+2')

Dermot Gallagher: 'Kai Havertz elbow on Dan Burn not worthy of red card'

Former Premier League official Dermot Gallagher agrees with Chelsea forward Kai Havertz that his elbow on Newcastle United defender Dan Burn was only worthy of a caution.

Mar 14, 12:00

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel during the Premier League fixture against Newcastle United on March 13, 2022.

Thomas Tuchel: 'No chance of imminent Chelsea exit'

Head coach Thomas Tuchel insists that there is no chance of him departing Chelsea before the end of the season, amid the current uncertainty at Stamford Bridge.

Mar 13, 16:51

Chelsea match-winner Kai Havertz defends elbow on Newcastle United's Dan Burn

Chelsea forward Kai Havertz, who scored a late winner, defends his elbow on Newcastle United defender Dan Burn during the first half of Sunday's Premier league game.

Mar 13, 16:32

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

We said: Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle United

This will be a real test of Newcastle's recent improvement, and it would not be a surprise to see the Magpies claim a positive result on Sunday afternoon. Chelsea's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the superior quality in the home side's team will allow them to claim a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Newcastle United
76.37%	15.1%	8.53%

Both teams to score 46.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.28%

37.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.03%

59.97%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.79%

8.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.27%

28.72%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.97%

49.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.03%

83.97%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 76.36%

Newcastle United 8.53%

Draw 15.1%

Chelsea	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 12.57% 3-0 @ 10.48% 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 6.55% 4-1 @ 4.67% 5-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.66% 5-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.67% 6-0 @ 1.37% 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.36%	1-1 @ 7.17% 0-0 @ 4.02% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.71% Total : 15.1%	0-1 @ 2.87% 1-2 @ 2.56% 0-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.53%