Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 25

Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Trippier (35')
Joelinton (39'), Burn (66'), Shelvey (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGinn (42'), Luiz (89'), Bailey (90+5'), Ramsey (90+7')

Newcastle United confirm fractured foot for Kieran Trippier

Newcastle United confirm that full-back Kieran Trippier suffered a fractured foot during their recent 1-0 victory against Aston Villa.

Feb 14, 21:43

Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard on February 13, 2022

Steven Gerrard: 'Aston Villa weren't good enough at Newcastle United'

Manager Steven Gerrard criticises Aston Villa's performance during their 1-0 defeat at Newcastle United on Sunday afternoon.

Feb 13, 18:15

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-2 Aston Villa

Aston Villa secured a routine win in the reverse fixture against Newcastle earlier this season, but they are set to face a different proposition on Sunday and could be in for a challenging afternoon in the North-East. Confidence is beginning to grow within the Magpies camp and although they will be desperate to claim another three points here, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
34.54%	27.68%	37.78%

Both teams to score 48.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89%

57.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01%

77.99%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77%

31.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43%

67.57%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79%

29.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85%

65.15%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 34.53%

Aston Villa 37.78%

Draw 27.68%

Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.78%