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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa

Brentford have not lost to Villa in any competition since February 1953, and the points were shared in a 1-1 draw earlier this season. Villa will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways here, but we believe that Brentford will have enough to secure a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
33.66%27.41%38.93%
Both teams to score 49.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8%56.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.25%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9%28.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23%63.76%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 33.65%
    Aston Villa 38.92%
    Draw 27.41%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 11.17%
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.92%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
26.8%
Draw
23.6%
Aston Villa
49.6%
284
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Brentford
1-0
Aston Villa
Maupay (91')

Hutton (40')
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
Dec 26, 2017 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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