EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford0 - 2Chelsea
The Match
Team News
Three academy players feature in Chelsea's starting lineup for the EFL Cup tie at Brentford.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brentford and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup quarter-final clash with West London rivals Brentford.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup quarter-final tie at Brentford.
We said: Brentford 0-1 Chelsea
Uncertainty over what to expect from each team - and therefore each game - is likely to be a feature of the upcoming weeks, and it is particularly prevalent in this match with both clubs at different stages of a COVID outbreak. Chelsea's strength in depth is formidable, but even that is being stretched at the moment and Brentford may not get many better chances to get one over their neighbours, although they too are likely to be far from full strength. We are backing the visitors to just about edge this one, but if they are to reach the semi-finals then they will need to overcome plenty of adversity en route. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
| 25.43% | 25.32% | 49.24% |
| Both teams to score 51.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% | 51.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% | 73.44% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% | 35.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.13% | 71.87% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% | 20.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Brentford 25.43%
Chelsea 49.24%
Draw 25.32%
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.06% Total : 25.43% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.98% 1-3 @ 4.89% 0-3 @ 4.67% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 49.24% |
How you voted: Brentford vs Chelsea
Brentford
22.3%Draw
14.2%Chelsea
63.5%323
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 17, 2013 12pm
Fourth Round
Chelsea
4-0
Brentford
Jan 27, 2013 12pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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How Chelsea could line up against Brentford
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup quarter-final clash with West London rivals Brentford.
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Chelsea youngsters join training ahead of Brentford EFL Cup tie
A number of Chelsea academy players have allegedly joined first-team training ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup tie at Brentford.
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Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Brentford
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup quarter-final tie at Brentford.
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