Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Brighton2 - 0Brentford
We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Brentford
Having established a considerable gap between themselves and the bottom three, there is a certain degree of freedom for both teams to push for all three points. Nevertheless, we can only see a low-scoring share of the spoils, a result which would take both teams one small step closer to survival. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Brentford |
| 42.58% | 27.68% | 29.73% |
| Both teams to score 47.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
