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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 at 2.15pm UK
St James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Leicester

Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 1-1 Leicester City

Newcastle have come a long way both on and off the pitch since being subjected to a 4-0 humbling against Leicester at the King Power, and a spate of positive home results makes it seem likely that another one could be in store here. The Foxes do have competent options for change amid their tough schedule and have also started to perform better domestically in recent weeks, so we think this battle has a score draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.77%26.04%39.19%
Both teams to score 53.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57%72.42%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 34.77%
    Leicester City 39.19%
    Draw 26.04%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
32.5%
Draw
27.8%
Leicester City
39.6%
255
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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