Spurs5 - 1Newcastle
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Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Newcastle United
Tottenham are in need of all three points to keep themselves in contention for a top-four finish, and we are expecting the home side to triumph here. Newcastle are a much-improved outfit in 2022, but Tottenham's quality in the final third should allow them to secure an important victory on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 68.3% | 19.06% | 12.64% |
| Both teams to score 48.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% | 44.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% | 66.46% |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.14% | 11.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.87% | 37.13% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.61% | 45.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.76% | 81.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.37% Total : 68.3% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.06% | 0-1 @ 4.25% 1-2 @ 3.58% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.64% |
How you voted: Spurs vs Newcastle
