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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Schar (58'), Wilson (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Six:
    Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
    Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Valencia
      Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Nottingham Forest

       Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

      Result
      Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
      45.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 28.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
      Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      38.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)61.41% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      18.7% (-0.038 -0.04)81.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
      Newcastle United Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      72.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)27.26% (0.07 0.07)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      37.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)62.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
      Nottingham Forest Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      60.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      23.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)76.06% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
      Score Analysis
          Newcastle United 45.01%
          Nottingham Forest 26.74%
          Draw 28.23%
      Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
      1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
      2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
      3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
      3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
      4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
      4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
      Other @ 1.79%
      Total : 45.01%
      		1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      0-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      Other @ 0.57%
      Total : 28.23%
      		0-1 @ 10% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
      1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      0-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
      1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      0-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
      2-3 @ 1.22%
      Other @ 1.45%
      Total : 26.74%

      How you voted: Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest

      Newcastle United
      57.9%
      Draw
      17.5%
      Nottingham Forest
      24.6%
      57
      Head to Head
      Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
      Nott'm Forest
      3-1
      Newcastle
      Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
      Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
      Rondon (90')
      Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
      > Match Report
      Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
      Newcastle
      2-3
      Nott'm Forest
      Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
      Hanley (85')
      Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
      Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
      Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
      Newcastle
      3-1
      Nott'm Forest
      Ritchie (4'), Gayle (63', 81')
      Clark (12'), Colback (53'), Yedlin (65')
      Dumitru (29')
      Lam (26'), Mills (59'), Pereira (61')
      Mills (60')
      Dec 2, 2016 7.45pm
      Nott'm Forest
      2-1
      Newcastle
      Bendtner (52'), Lascelles (86' og.)
      Mancienne (44'), Lansbury (72')
      Ritchie (45')
      Darlow (45'), Gouffran (53'), Yedlin (93')
      Shelvey (33'), Dummett (45')
      > Match Report
      Mar 29, 2010 3pm
      Newcastle
      2-0
      Nott'm Forest
      Enrique (90'), Ameobi (71')
      Enrique (90')

      Morgan (60'), Wilson (78')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Liverpool119112161528
      2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
      3Chelsea115422113819
      4Arsenal115421812619
      5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
      6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
      7Fulham115331613318
      8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
      9Aston Villa115331717018
      10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
      11Brentford115152222016
      12Bournemouth114341515015
      13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
      14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
      15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
      16Everton112451017-710
      17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
      18Crystal Palace11146815-77
      19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
      20Southampton11119721-144
      > Premier League Full Table


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