EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds3 - 1Barnsley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Chelsea
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Manchester City | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Leeds United | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Barnsley | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 5 | -3 | 6 |
We said: Leeds United 3-0 Barnsley
With local pride at stake, many of Barnsley's players may raise their game for this contest. However, even if Marsch names an entirely different starting XI, we expect the home side to power their way to victory over their county neighbours. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Barnsley |
56.94% ( 1.6) | 22.77% ( -0.53) | 20.29% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
