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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Elland Road
Aston Villa logo

Leeds
0 - 0
Aston Villa


Sinisterra (26'), Roca (35'), Rodrigo (39'), Koch (83')
Sinisterra (48')
FT

Augustinsson (6'), Bailey (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 5-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Aston Villa

 Elland Road has been a happy hunting ground for Aston Villa in recent memory, but with Gerrard's side particularly short in the full-back areas and known for their shortcomings away from home, Sunday's trip may not be a pleasant one. In contrast, Leeds have reserved their best performances for Elland Road and have had over a month to recover from the 5-2 thrashing at Brentford, which has also benefited their injured crop, and we have faith in the Whites to return to winning ways as Marsch watches on from afar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
42.7% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 25.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)48.26% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.023 0.02)70.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.040000000000006 0.04)64.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.7%
    Aston Villa 31.93%
    Draw 25.36%
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds United
60.1%
Draw
17.8%
Aston Villa
22.0%
286
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 5.35am
Aston Villa
1-0
Leeds
Ings (63' pen.)
McGinn (70')

Gray (67')
Mar 10, 2022 7.45pm
Leeds
0-3
Aston Villa

Koch (45+1'), Gelhardt (67'), Firpo (81'), James (86'), Raphinha (90+2')
Coutinho (22'), Cash (65'), Chambers (73')
Watkins (17'), Mings (47'), Luiz (62')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Aston Villa
3-3
Leeds
Coutinho (30'), Ramsey (38', 43')
Konsa (70'), Cash (90')
Konsa (87')
James (9', 45+2'), Llorente (63')
Dallas (45'), James (80'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Leeds
0-1
Aston Villa

Roberts (61'), Klich (63'), Hernandez (84')
El Ghazi (5')
Targett (61'), Elmohamady (80')
> Match Report
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Aston Villa
0-3
Leeds

Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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