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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Elland Road
Aston Villa logo

Leeds
0 - 0
Aston Villa


Sinisterra (26'), Roca (35'), Rodrigo (39'), Koch (83')
Sinisterra (48')
FT

Augustinsson (6'), Bailey (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 5-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Aston Villa

Elland Road has been a happy hunting ground for Aston Villa in recent memory, but with Gerrard's side particularly short in the full-back areas and known for their shortcomings away from home, Sunday's trip may not be a pleasant one. In contrast, Leeds have reserved their best performances for Elland Road and have had over a month to recover from the 5-2 thrashing at Brentford, which has also benefited their injured crop, and we have faith in the Whites to return to winning ways as Marsch watches on from afar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
42.7% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 25.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)48.26% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.023 0.02)70.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.040000000000006 0.04)64.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.7%
    Aston Villa 31.93%
    Draw 25.36%
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds United
60.1%
Draw
17.8%
Aston Villa
22.0%
286
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 5.35am
Aston Villa
1-0
Leeds
Ings (63' pen.)
McGinn (70')

Gray (67')
Mar 10, 2022 7.45pm
Leeds
0-3
Aston Villa

Koch (45+1'), Gelhardt (67'), Firpo (81'), James (86'), Raphinha (90+2')
Coutinho (22'), Cash (65'), Chambers (73')
Watkins (17'), Mings (47'), Luiz (62')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Aston Villa
3-3
Leeds
Coutinho (30'), Ramsey (38', 43')
Konsa (70'), Cash (90')
Konsa (87')
James (9', 45+2'), Llorente (63')
Dallas (45'), James (80'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Aston Villa
0-3
Leeds

Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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