Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Sep 16, 2022 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton

Ramsey (41')
Coutinho (45+4'), Ramsey (58'), Young (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ward-Prowse (82')

Steven Gerrard "really proud" of Aston Villa reaction after criticism

Steven Gerrard says that he has been left "really proud" of his Aston Villa after they posted just their second win of the season against Southampton on Friday night.

Sep 17, 10:09

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Everton	6	-2	4
17	Aston Villa	6	-5	4
18	West Ham United	6	-5	4

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newcastle United	6	1	7
12	Southampton	6	-3	7
13	Bournemouth	6	-13	7

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Southampton

There is not a huge difference between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting an even game on Friday night. Both managers would likely be content with a draw if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we can see a stalemate taking place here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Southampton
40.48% ( -0.21)	26.29% ( 0.05)	33.22% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

-0.15)

51.83% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

-0.13)

73.58% (

0.13)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79% (

-0.18)

25.21% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05% (

-0.25)

59.95% (

0.25)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

0.03)

29.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56% (

0.03)

65.44% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 40.47%

Southampton 33.22%

Draw 26.29%

Aston Villa	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.47%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.22%