Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa0 - 1West Ham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 1-4 Aston Villa
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Southampton | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | -14 | 3 |
Last Game: Viborg 0-3 West Ham
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Leicester City | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | West Ham United | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Aston Villa 1-2 West Ham United
Despite this being just the fourth Premier League game of the season, the stakes feel high with both managers desperately needing a win. Villa should make plenty of the running, but we feel that West Ham will be able to take advantage of the weaknesses in the home side's defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
36.96% ( -0.08) | 27.85% ( 0.02) | 35.2% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.31% ( -0.05) | 57.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% ( -0.04) | 78.45% ( 0.04) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( -0.07) | 29.99% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.09) | 66.11% ( 0.09) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( 0.01) | 31.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.59% ( 0.02) | 67.42% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 36.96%
West Ham United 35.2%
Draw 27.84%
| Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.2% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs West Ham
Aston Villa
32.2%Draw
22.6%West Ham United
45.2%345
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Form Guide
