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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
London Stadium
Aston Villa logo

West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Yarmolenko (85')
Antonio (23'), Fredericks (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grealish (84')
Samatta (41')

The Match

Match Report

A four-match unbeaten run to finish the season saw Villa keep their head above water as Bournemouth and Watford were relegated.

Team News

Bowen was forced off at Old Trafford on Wednesday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews the final-day Premier League showdown between West Ham and relegation-threatened Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
44.11%25.69%30.2%
Both teams to score 53.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71%50.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76%72.24%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6%56.4%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29%30.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03%66.97%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 44.11%
    Aston Villa 30.2%
    Draw 25.68%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.2%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2019 8pm
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Green (86')
Antonio (10'), Arnautovic (27'), Snodgrass (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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9.05pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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