Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
58.08% ( 0.01) | 23.42% | 18.51% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0) | 51.42% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( 0) | 73.23% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.55% ( 0.01) | 17.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.09% ( 0.01) | 47.92% ( -0) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.15% ( 0) | 41.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% ( 0) | 78.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
> Premier League Full Table |