Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
4 - 3
Bournemouth

Rodrigo (3' pen.), Greenwood (60'), Cooper (68'), Summerville (84')
Kristensen (62'), Gelhardt (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tavernier (7'), Billing (19'), Solanke (48')
Lerma (45+1'), Mepham (52')

Jesse Marsch, Crysenciso Summerville react as Leeds United win thriller against Bournemouth

Leeds United head coach Jesse Marsch hails the 'belief and commitment' that his team showed in their thrilling 4-3 comeback victory against Bournemouth at Elland Road.

Nov 5, 18:56

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United come from 3-1 behind to record a 4-3 win over Bournemouth in Saturday afternoon's pulsating Premier League contest at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Leeds
Saturday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-3 Spurs
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Bournemouth
58.13% ( -0.4)	21.82% ( 0.04)	20.04% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 55.64% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.45% (

0.31)

42.54% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05% (

0.31)

64.95% (

-0.31)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64% (

-0.02)

14.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.78% (

-0.05)

42.22% (

0.04)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

0.54)

35.03% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

0.57)

71.77% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 58.13%

Bournemouth 20.04%

Draw 21.81%

Leeds United	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.13%	1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.81%	1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.04%