Newcastle2 - 1Wolves
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
58% ( -0.18) | 23.86% ( 0.1) | 18.13% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.27) | 53.63% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( -0.22) | 75.13% ( 0.22) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.17) | 18.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.64% ( -0.28) | 49.36% ( 0.28) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( -0.06) | 43.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.22% ( -0.05) | 79.78% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.13% |
