Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
58% (![]() | 23.86% (![]() | 18.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% (![]() | 53.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% (![]() | 75.13% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% (![]() | 18.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.64% (![]() | 49.36% (![]() |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.41% (![]() | 43.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.22% (![]() | 79.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 13.54% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.62% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |