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Fulham logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Leeds logo

Fulham
2 - 0
Leeds

Palhinha (21'), Solomon (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Wolves
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Fulham 2-1 Leeds United

This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, but it is difficult to know exactly what to expect when two Premier League sides meet at this stage of the FA Cup. Both managers will make changes, but Fulham's squad is arguably stronger, so we are backing the home side to secure a spot in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawLeeds United
46.27% (0.921 0.92) 23.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 29.86% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 59.47% (-0.41 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (-0.311 -0.31)42.43% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.308 -0.31)64.84% (0.309 0.31)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.253 0.25)18.55% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.427 0.43)49.79% (-0.428 -0.43)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (-0.732 -0.73)26.98% (0.73 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (-0.968 -0.97)62.33% (0.966 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 46.27%
    Leeds United 29.86%
    Draw 23.86%
FulhamDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.055 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.86%

How you voted: Fulham vs Leeds

Fulham
71.8%
Draw
14.4%
Leeds United
13.9%
216
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Leeds
2-3
Fulham
Rodrigo (20'), Summerville (90+1')
Cooper (39')
Mitrovic (26'), Reid (74'), Willian (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Fulham
0-0
Leeds
Leeds win 6-5 on penalties

Summerville (67'), Bielsa (75')
Mar 19, 2021 8pm
Fulham
1-2
Leeds
Andersen (38')
Lemina (51'), Loftus-Cheek (90+2')
Bamford (29'), Raphinha (58')
Bamford (31'), Phillips (90+4')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Leeds
4-3
Fulham
Costa (5', 57'), Klich (41' pen.), Bamford (50')
Klich (82')
Mitrovic (34' pen., 67'), Reid (62')
Mitrovic (88'), Tete (90')
Jun 27, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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