FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

KCOM Stadium

Hull City
0 - 2
Fulham

Elder (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kurzawa (37'), James (90+4')
Diop (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hull City and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 1-4 Hull City
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Fulham
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Silva will inevitably make alterations to his starting lineup, we cannot ignore the Mitrovic factor. With the Serbian in line to start, he will fancy his chances of netting at least a couple of goals, and that would likely prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Hull City win it was 2-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Fulham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Fulham
22.88% ( -0.27)	22.9% ( 0.01)	54.22% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21% (

-0.35)

43.79% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

-0.34)

66.17% (

0.35)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97% (

-0.43)

33.03% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38% (

-0.48)

69.63% (

0.48)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

-0.03)

16.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.53% (

-0.07)

45.47% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Hull City 22.88%

Fulham 54.22%

Draw 22.9%

Hull City	Draw	Fulham
2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.88%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 54.22%