Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 52%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fulham.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Southampton |
52% ( -0.17) | 23.59% ( 0.12) | 24.41% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.74% ( -0.46) | 45.26% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% ( -0.44) | 67.6% ( 0.44) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( -0.23) | 17.41% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% ( -0.41) | 47.85% ( 0.41) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% ( -0.21) | 32.52% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% ( -0.23) | 69.05% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.78% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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