Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Oct 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Reed (36'), Mitrovic (68' pen.), Mings (83' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bailey (57'), Mings (60')

Fulham ease past Aston Villa to pile pressure on Steven Gerrard

Fulham beat 10-man Aston Villa 3-0 at Craven Cottage to pile the pressure on under-fire Villa manager Steven Gerrard.

Oct 20, 21:21

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fulham 2-1 Aston Villa

While there is an element of pressure on both teams to win considering their recent dips in form, Gerrard and co will be aware that a defeat on Thursday could see them slip into the bottom three if other results were to go against them. Fulham have impressed on home soil so far this term and with Mitrovic back fit and firing, we can see the hosts coming away with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Aston Villa
37.59% ( -0.13)	25.72% ( 0.05)	36.69% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05% (

-0.2)

48.95% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97% (

-0.18)

71.03% (

0.18)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.17)

25.45% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72% (

-0.23)

60.28% (

0.23)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04% (

-0.04)

25.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.03% (

-0.06)

60.97% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Fulham 37.59%

Aston Villa 36.69%

Draw 25.72%

Fulham	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.59%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.69%