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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Brighton logo

Fulham
2 - 1
Brighton

Mitrovic (48'), Dunk (55' og.)
Robinson (68'), Reed (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mac Allister (60' pen.)
Estupinan (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Fulham 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton look incredibly determined and composed in the early portion of the season, while collectively, they have rarely suffered a lapse in concentration. The Seagulls' overall commitment should carry them to another victory against a Fulham side, who have played well but have also had their share of breakdowns on the back end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
37.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 26.34% (0.029 0.03) 36.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 53.08% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (-0.117 -0.12)51.65% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (-0.101 -0.1)73.43% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)26.99% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)62.34% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)27.3% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)62.75% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 36.56%
    Draw 26.34%
FulhamDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.56%

How you voted: Fulham vs Brighton

Fulham
32.0%
Draw
16.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion
51.3%
353
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Fulham
4-2
Brighton
Chambers (47'), Mitrovic (58', 74'), Vietto (79')
Michael Seri (36'), Babel (87')
Murray (3', 17')
Stephens (26'), Duffy (36'), Dunk (78')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Brighton
2-2
Fulham
Murray (67', 84' pen.)
Stephens (45'), Propper (53'), Murray (59')
Mitrovic (62'), Schurrle (43')
Johansen (82'), Mitrovic (84'), Le Marchand (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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