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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
0 - 2
Chelsea

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mount (6', 65')
Chilwell (33'), Koulibaly (61'), Mount (83')

The Match

Team News

Head coach Graham Potter again makes changes to his Chelsea XI for Sunday's Premier League fixture at Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Chelsea

Under pressure to deliver a victory which would buy him more time in the Villa dugout, we expect Villa to produce an attack-minded performance in order to repel Chelsea. Nevertheless, the Blues are clear favourites for a reason, and the visitors should do enough to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
19.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 56.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)50.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)72.38% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27%39.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6%76.4% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.32% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 19.9%
    Chelsea 56.45%
    Draw 23.63%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.9%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 12.17%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-3 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.45%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
12.9%
Draw
10.5%
Chelsea
76.6%
295
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
Dec 28, 2020 5.30pm
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Giroud (34')
Azpilicueta (45+2'), Giroud (71'), Kante (74')
El Ghazi (50')
El Ghazi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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