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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Dennis (15')
Aurier (18'), Cook (27'), Yates (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (22')
Konsa (45'), McGinn (50'), Ramsey (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa

There will be an air of positivity at the City Ground after Cooper renewed his contract, but that will not necessarily act as the catalyst for improved performances on the pitch. Villa and Gerrard also need a result in the East Midlands, leading us to predict a competitive low-scoring draw being played out between two struggling sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
30.14% (1.625 1.63) 25.45% (0.18 0.18) 44.41% (-1.803 -1.8)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08)49.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (0.07 0.07)71.36% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (1.215 1.22)30.26% (-1.213 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (1.428 1.43)66.42% (-1.427 -1.43)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (-0.78700000000001 -0.79)22.17% (0.787 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (-1.198 -1.2)55.56% (1.2 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 30.14%
    Aston Villa 44.41%
    Draw 25.44%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.283 0.28)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.296 0.3)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.14%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.41%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
22.4%
Draw
17.2%
Aston Villa
60.4%
487
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
Sep 23, 2017 5.30pm
Feb 4, 2017 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest
2-1
Aston Villa
Assombalonga (42'), Brereton (93')
Cash (39')
Kodjia (19')
Grealish (32'), Hogan (45')
Grealish (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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