Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
30.14% ( 1.63) | 25.45% ( 0.18) | 44.41% ( -1.8) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.69% ( 0.08) | 49.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% ( 0.07) | 71.36% ( -0.07) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 1.22) | 30.26% ( -1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( 1.43) | 66.42% ( -1.43) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -0.79) | 22.17% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( -1.2) | 55.56% ( 1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.14% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Fulham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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