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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Dennis (15')
Aurier (18'), Cook (27'), Yates (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (22')
Konsa (45'), McGinn (50'), Ramsey (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa

There will be an air of positivity at the City Ground after Cooper renewed his contract, but that will not necessarily act as the catalyst for improved performances on the pitch. Villa and Gerrard also need a result in the East Midlands, leading us to predict a competitive low-scoring draw being played out between two struggling sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
30.14% (1.625 1.63) 25.45% (0.18 0.18) 44.41% (-1.803 -1.8)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08)49.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (0.07 0.07)71.36% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (1.215 1.22)30.26% (-1.213 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (1.428 1.43)66.42% (-1.427 -1.43)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (-0.78700000000001 -0.79)22.17% (0.787 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (-1.198 -1.2)55.56% (1.2 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 30.14%
    Aston Villa 44.41%
    Draw 25.44%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.283 0.28)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.296 0.3)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.14%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.41%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
22.4%
Draw
17.2%
Aston Villa
60.4%
487
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
Sep 23, 2017 5.30pm
Feb 4, 2017 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest
2-1
Aston Villa
Assombalonga (42'), Brereton (93')
Cash (39')
Kodjia (19')
Grealish (32'), Hogan (45')
Grealish (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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