Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
0 - 2
Spurs

Cook (54'), Worrall (58'), McKenna (61'), O'Brien (73'), Kouyate (84'), Johnson (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kane (5', 81')
Kane (82')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Fulham	4	0	5
12	Nottingham Forest	3	-1	4
13	Crystal Palace	4	-2	4

Tottenham Hotspur

Last Six:

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Wolves
Saturday, August 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	4	4	10
4	Tottenham Hotspur	3	4	7
5	Leeds United	4	3	7

We said: Nottingham Forest 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur

While we don't envisage Forest losing frequently on home soil this season, we do think Spurs may be a little too strong for them on Sunday. Cooper's side are still gelling together having had an incredibly busy transfer window, while Tottenham do not need to be at their best to win matches, such is their attacking firepower and defensive discipline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tottenham Hotspur.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
26.67% ( -0.11)	23.98% ( -0.02)	49.36% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 56.67% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

0.01)

45.06% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

0.01)

67.41% (

-0)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

-0.08)

30.6% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

-0.09)

66.84% (

0.09)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

0.06)

18.34% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.55% (

0.09)

49.45% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 26.67%

Tottenham Hotspur 49.36%

Draw 23.98%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.67%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.36%