Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.