Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.