Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid book their spot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a 6-2 aggregate success over Liverpool.
Team News
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp alters his formation to include four attackers for the second leg of their Champions League last-16 clash with Real Madrid at the Bernabeu.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Real Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Real Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Espanyol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Liverpool |
47.64% ( -0.01) | 22.94% ( 0) | 29.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.47% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% ( -0.01) | 38.35% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.36% ( -0.01) | 60.63% ( 0) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.01) | 16.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.88% ( -0.01) | 46.11% ( 0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% | 25.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.01% ( 0) | 59.98% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Madrid 47.64%
Liverpool 29.41%
Draw 22.94%
| Real Madrid | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.41% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Liverpool
Real Madrid
62.0%Draw
8.9%Liverpool
29.0%582
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 8.36pm
Apr 14, 2021 8pm
Apr 6, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
3-1
Liverpool
May 26, 2018 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Real Madrid handed double fitness boost for Liverpool clash
Real Madrid welcome Karim Benzema and Ferland Mendy back into their squad for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Liverpool.
2 years ago
Jurgen Klopp rules Stefan Bajcetic out of Real Madrid clash
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp reveals that Stefan Bajcetic will miss Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Real Madrid due to an adductor injury.
2 years ago
Jordan Henderson 'ruled out of Real Madrid match with illness'
Liverpool's Jordan Henderson is reportedly set to miss the club's Champions League clash with Real Madrid on Wednesday night due to illness.
2 years ago
Liverpool out to avoid worst-ever European aggregate defeat
Liverpool are looking to avoid setting a new unwanted club record for the heaviest aggregate defeat in Europe when they face Real Madrid on Wednesday.
2 years ago
Henderson, Bajcetic miss Liverpool training ahead of Real Madrid clash
Jordan Henderson and Stefan Bajcetic are absent from Liverpool training ahead of the second leg of their Champions League last-16 tie with Real Madrid on Wednesday.
2 years ago
Champions League: Real Madrid vs. Liverpool head-to-head record
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Real Madrid and Liverpool's head-to-head record ahead of Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg.
2 years ago
How Liverpool could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Real Madrid.
2 years ago
How Real Madrid could line up against Liverpool
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Liverpool.
2 years ago
Liverpool team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Real Madrid.
2 years ago
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Liverpool
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Liverpool.
2 years ago
Carlo Ancelotti provides Karim Benzema injury update ahead of Liverpool clash
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti says that Karim Benzema will be fit for next week's Champions League last-16 second leg with Liverpool.
2 years ago
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema doubtful for Liverpool clash?
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema emerges as a doubt for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg against Liverpool due to an ankle injury.
2 years ago
